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. 2017 Mar 27;7:45242. doi: 10.1038/srep45242

Table 1. Post-1970 Trend in QRA fingerprint series.

CMIP5 All-Forcing (1970–2005) Slope (units/yr) % > 0 p
Multimodel Mean 0.006   <0.0001
Multimodel Ensemble (−1σ, +1σ) (−0.005, 0.017) 68 <0.0001
CMIP5 Anthropogenic-Only (1970–2005)
Multimodel Mean 0.010    
Multimodel Ensemble (−1σ, +1σ) (0.0009, 0.020) 88 <0.0001
Observations (1970–2015) Slope (units/yr) t dof p
GISTEMP 0.022 ± 0.01 2.35 35 0.01
HadCRUT4 0.017 ± 0.01 1.68 34 0.05
Cowtan & Way 0.016 ± 0.01 1.68 37 0.05
Observations (1970–2005) Slope (units/yr) t dof p
GISTEMP 0.028 ± 0.014 2.03 22 0.03
HadCRUT4 0.019 ± 0.016 1.16 25 0.13
Cowtan & Way 0.018 ± 0.015 1.17 27 0.13