Table 1.
No. significant of 104 | No. significant of 104 (lag test) | |||||
Flu surrogate | Environment surrogate | Log-flu | Flu → environment | Environment → flu | Flu → environment | Environment → flu |
X | 14 | 27 | 8 | 14 | ||
X | 53 | 14 | 25 | 6 | ||
X | X | 56 | 22 | 27 | 10 | |
X | X | 17 | 31 | 11 | 15 | |
X | X | 55 | 29 | 25 | 13 | |
X | X | X | 52 | 34 | 23 | 15 |
Tests used surrogates for influenza and/or environmental variables, and either untransformed or log-transformed influenza incidence. Results are shown with and without the requirement that the maximum cross-correlation occur in the correct temporal direction. Surrogates were constructed using splines, and analysis was restricted to periods when influenza was present. Numbers are out of a total of 104 tests (26 countries, four tests each).