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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Obesity (Silver Spring). 2017 Apr;25(4):773–780. doi: 10.1002/oby.21791

Table 4.

BMI Intercept (at Age 62) and Slope Derived from Latent Growth Modeling as Predictors of Cardiometabolic Outcomes at Age 62

Hypertension
Odds Ratio
(95% CI)
Diabetes
Odds Ratio (95%
CI)
Dyslipidemia
Odds Ratio (95%
CI)
Inflammation
Odds Ratio (95%
CI)
Ischemic Heart
Disease
Odds Ratio
(95% CI)
Intercept (BMI Age 62) 1.08 (0.97, 1.20) 1.02 (0.93, 1.12) 0.97 (0.88, 1.07) 1.00 (0.91, 1.10) 0.99 (0.88, 1.10)
Linear slope (BMI) 1.10 (0.88, 1.38) 1.29 (1.05, 1.60) 1.42 (1.13, 1.80) 1.25 (0.99, 1.58) 1.24 (0.94, 1.63)
Quadratic slope (BMI) 1.48 (0.65, 3.40) 0.63 (0.28, 1.42) 0.85 (0.36, 1.98) 1.24 (0.59, 2.63) 0.61 (0.25, 1.46)
Age (VETSA 2) 1.03 (0.96, 1.10) 1.04 (0.97, 1.11) 1.00 (0.94, 1.07) 1.04 (0.98, 1.12) 0.93 (0.86, 1.01)
Education (Lifetime years) 1.02 (0.94, 1.11) 1.00 (0.93, 1.08) 0.97 (0.89, 1.05) 1.04 (0.96, 1.13) 0.98 (0.89, 1.07)
Ethnicity (Non-Hispanic White vs.
other)
1.06 (0.62, 1.81) 1.01 (0.63, 1.62) 1.36 (0.79, 2.33) 0.82 (0.49, 1.36) 1.12 (0.61, 2.07)
Smoking (VETSA 2)
  Current smokers vs. Never smokers 0.98 (0.61, 1.57) 0.90 (0.58, 1.38) 1.51 (0.94, 2.44) 2.96 (1.92, 4.56) 2.79 (1.57, 4.94)
  Former smokers vs. Never smokers 1.16 (0.80, 1.69) 1.20 (0.85, 1.69) 1.17 (0.82, 1.65) 1.00 (0.69, 1.46) 2.83 (1.79, 4.50)

Notes: BMI=Body Mass Index (kg/m2); inflammation measured with high sensitivity C-Reactive Protein; Models include intercept (age 20 BMI), Age (years), education (Lifetime in years), ethnicity (0=other; 1=non-Hispanic white) and smoking (0= Never smokers; 1= Former smokers; 2= Current smokers; Never smoker as reference group) as covariates in models with family (twin clustering) as a random effect. Bold indicates values significant with 95% CI. Age measured in years. CI=confidence interval. Age centered at 62 years. VETSA 2 measures = Age 62; BMI intercept and slope derived from empirical Bayes estimates.