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. 2014 May 2;4:4846. doi: 10.1038/srep04846

Figure 9. The simulative confirmed H7N9 human cases with time in Yangtze River Delta when migrant birds are viewed as the original source.

Figure 9

(a) The fitting result from the 1st week in 2013 to the 3rd week in 2014, where blue dots are reported confirmed human cases and the red line is solution of the dynamical model. (b) The prediction result for the next 2 years. It can be predicted that in winter and the next spring, there will be reappearance of H7N9 human cases and the peak time will be 61st week. The whole situation will not be very serious and the human cases will be cyclic occurrence.