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. 2017 Apr 5;17:99. doi: 10.1186/s12887-017-0850-8

Table 3.

Univariable and Multivariable analysis for associations with mortality

Univariable analysis - pooled data Model 2 - Mulitvariable model for associations with mortality for complete case analysis including interaction terms for malaria endemicity Model 3 - Mulitvariable model for associations with mortality on imputed data including interaction terms for malaria endemicity
OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI)
AUC 0·86 0·85
Pseudo R-squared 0·25 0·24
Age groupa
2 _6 months ref
7 _11 months 0·72(0·64–0·82) <0·001
12_59 months 0·40(0·36–0·45)
2_6 months in high malaria prevalence ref ref
7 _11 months in high malaria prevalence 0·46(0·36–0·60) 0·43(0·29–0·63)
12_59 months in high malaria prevalence 0·41(0·33–0·50) 0·37(0·27–0·50)
7 _11 months in Low malaria prevalence 0·34(0·15–0·75) 0·33(0·19–0·57)
12_59 months in Low malaria prevalence 0·29(0·14–0·62) 0·29(0·17–0·49)
Child sex
Female ref ref ref
Male 0·79(0·72–0·86) <0·001 0·71(0·64–0·80) 0·67(0·57–0·79)
WAZ scorea
0 or > = 1 SD ref
Minus 1 SD 1·35(1·17–1·56) <0·001
Minus 2 SD 2·26(1·95–2·61)
Minus 3 SD 4·35(3·86–4·92)
0 or > = 1 SD in high malaria prevalence ref ref
Minus 1 SD in high malaria prevalence 1·50(1·15–1·95) 1·19(0·85–1·67)
Minus 2 SD in high malaria prevalence 1·25(0·95–1·65) 1·50(1·03–2·17)
Minus 3 SD in high malaria prevalence 2·96(2·27–3·86) 3·01(2·09–4·35)
Minus 1 SD in Low malaria prevalence 0·93(0·45–1·93) 1·06(0·61–1·82)
Minus 2 SD in Low malaria prevalence 1·17 (0·56–2·44) 0·88(0·52–1·51)
Minus 3 SD in Low malaria prevalence 2·36(1·13–4·94) 2·09(1·22–3·56)
Number of comorbidities
0 ref ref ref
1 1·44(1·28–1·62) <0·001 0·99(0·85–1·16) 1·08(0·86–1·37)
2 2·21(1·94–2·50) 1·03(0·86–1·23) 1·27(0·98–1·64)
> = 3 3·67(3·18–4·23) 1·25(1·02–1·55) 1·68(1·25–2·25)
History of fever
No ref ref ref
Yes 0·96(0·84–1·10) 0·555 0·77(0·66–0·90) 0·76(0·62–0·92)
History of diarrhoea
No ref ref ref
Yes 2·02(1·82–2·25) <0·001 1·34(1·16–1·56) 1·45(1·20–1·76)
Convulsions
No ref ref ref
Yes 1·13(1·00–1·28) 0·045 1·54(1·32–1·81) 1·35(1·09–1·67)
Vomitting everything
No ref ref ref
Yes 1·41(1·25–1·58) <0·001 1·04(0·91–1·20) 1·03(0·86–1·24)
Indrawing
No ref ref ref
Yes 2·84(2·55–3·18) <0·001 2·61(2·28–2·98) 2·48(2·08–2·96)
Pallor
None ref ref ref
Some/severe 3·39(3·03–3·79) <0·001 2·21(1·93–2·53) 2·32(1·92–2·81)
Central cyanosis
No ref ref ref
Yes 6·36(4·54–8·90) <0·001 2·64(1·70–4·12) 3·25(1·91–5·53)
AVPU
Alert ref ref ref
Not alert (VPU) 8·95(7·88–10·17) <0·001 3·98(3·31–4·77) 3·95(3·16–4·95)
Ability to drinka
No ref
Yes 0·23(0·20–0·26) <0·001
Ability to drink no in high malaria prevalence ref ref
Ability to drink yes in high malaria prevalence 0·63(0·49–0·80) 0·65(0·48–0·87)
Ability to drink yes in Low malaria prevalence 0·51(0·24–1·08) 0·44(0·25–0·78)
Stiff necka
No/soft ref
Yes 2·71(2·13–3·44) <0·001
Stiff neck no in high malaria prevalence ref ref
Stiff neck yes in high malaria prevalence 2·17(1·38–3·42) 3·92(2·15–7·16)
Stiff neck yes in low malaria prevalence 3·07(1·28–7·36) 1·53(0·81–2·90)
Skin pinch
Immediate ref ref ref
1–2 s 2·25(1·96–2·59) <0·001 1·29(1·09–1·52) 1·17(0·94–1·44)
> 2 s 6·18(5·28–7·24) 1·80(1·43–2·26) 1·47(1·09–1·98)
Capillary refill time
<=2 scs ref ref ref
>3 s 3·28(2·80–3·84) <0·001 1·46(1·15–1·86) 1·68(1·32–2·13)
Indeterminate 0·70(0·51–0·97) 1·17(0·79–1·73) 1·83(1·12–2·99)
Sunken eyes
No ref ref ref
Yes 2·76(2·44–3·12) <0·001 1·12(0·96–1·31) 1·24(1·00–1·55)
Jaundice
None ref ref ref
Moderate/severe 2·03(1·55–2·66) <0·001 1·78(1·30–2·42) 1·64(1·01–2·65)
Severe wastinga
No ref
Yes 5·01(4·32–5·81) <0·001
Severe wasting no in high malaria prevalence ref ref
Severe wasting yes in high malaria prevalence 2·35(1·68–3·27) 2·54(1·70–3·82)
Severe wasting yes in low malaria prevalence 1·99(0·97–4·09) 1·66(0·95–2·87)
Oedema of malnutritiona
None ref
Moderate/severe 3·02(2·39–3·80) <0·001
Oedema none in high malaria prevalence ref ref
Oedema mild/moderate in high malaria prevalence 2·66(1·82–3·89) 3·13(1·95–5·02)
Oedema mild/moderate in Low malaria prevalence 2·45(1·17–5·13) 1·88(1·08–3·25)
Malaria endemicity
High ref <0·001 ref ref
Low 0·90(0·83–0·99) 0·71(0·46–1·08) 0·78(0·43–1·42)
Hospital
A ref ref ref
B 1·23(1·01–1·61) <0·001 1·26(0·91–1·73) 1·69(1·04–2·74)
C 1·83(1·53–2·20) 1·74(1·30–2·32) 1·90(1·26–2·85)
D 2·46(2·04–2·96) 1·53(1·16–2·01) 1·99(1·33–2·98)
E 0·53(0·39–0·72) 0·60(0·40–0·90) 0·53(0·28–1·00)
F 1·00(0·79–1·26) 0·91(0·66–1·26) 0·88(0·56–1·39)
G 0·48(0·34–0·67) 0·75(0·49–1·15) 0·81(0·43–1·50)
H 1·41(1·14–1·76) 0·83(0·62–1·11) 0·90(0·52–1·57)
I 1·43(1·20–1·72) 1·23(0·98–1·55) 1·15(0·82–1·60)
J 1·08(0·86–1·37) 0·68(0·50–0·92) 1·05(0·68–1·63)
K 1·52(1·25–1·84) 0·82(0·64–1·07) 0·95(0·68–1·32)
L 1·40(1·15–1·70) na na

Model 2 results are based on complete case analysis while model 3 results are based on the imputed dataset; both models include interaction terms for malaria prevalence.

aVariables with significant interactions with malaria endemicity