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. 2016 Nov 4;46(2):226–231. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afw198

Table 1.

Derivation of the delirium susceptibility score using systematically reviewed pooled data reported in the UK-NICE guidelines

Factor reported in NICE guideline [1] Strength of reported association OR, 95% CI Routinely available data used in the risk score Allocated weight
Dementia/cognitive impairment 6.3, 2.9–13.7 Known diagnosis of dementia and or cognitive score below cut-off (AMTS < 9 or MMSE < 24) 2
Age ≥80 years 5.2, 2.6–10.4 Age 2
Severe illness 3.5, 1.5–8.2 Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) positive1 1
Infection 3.0, 1.4–6.2 Working diagnosis of infection 1
Vision impairment 1.7, 1.0–2.9 History of poor vision in the care record or clinically overt poor vision 1

1SIRS was classed as positive if 2 or more of the following were present: heart rate >90 beats per minute, temperature <36°C or >38°C, respiratory rate >20 breaths per minute, white blood cell count <4 × 109 or >12 × 109 cells per litre [17].