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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Apr 10.
Published in final edited form as: Judgm Decis Mak. 2010 Dec;5(7):467–476.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Illustration of hypothetical estimates using SPIES and a 90% confidence interval for the daily high temperature in Washington, DC, one month in the future. The 90% SPIES interval ranges from 15°F to 54°F, whereas the 90% confidence interval ranges from 25°F to 40°F.