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. 2017 Apr 11;17:258. doi: 10.1186/s12879-017-2344-6

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© The Author(s). 2017

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 1 — Seasonal influenza data and output from the fitted transmission model. Influenza epidemics according to data and fitted model for the seasons 2003/04 till 2013/14 excluding the pandemic season 2009/10. The first and second column show the I-MAARI estimated by AGI and NIC virological data, respectively. The third and fourth column provide corresponding model-predicted consultation numbers and subtype distribution based on overlaid output subject to 1000 parameter vectors drawn from the posterior distribution