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. 2017 Mar 30;3(1):e000399. doi: 10.1136/rmdopen-2016-000399

Table 2.

Baseline demographic, clinical and imaging variables in the FORCAST study population according to the presence or absence of radiographic progression in the spine

ΔmSASSS progression rate=0 over ≥2 years
N=204
ΔmSASSS progression rate >0
N=227
p Value
Age (mean (SD)) 39.8 (13.0) 44.7 (11.5) <0.0001
Males (N (%)) 142 (69.6%) 176 (77.5%) 0.06
Symptom duration (mean (SD) years) 16.2 (11.3) 20.2 (11.4) <0.001
Duration of follow-up (mean (SD) (range) years) 2.4 (1.0) (1.5–8.2) 2.9 (1.3) (1.5–8.8) <0.001
Smokers*
 Current, N (%) 37 (22.3%) 37 (20.1%) 0.69
 Pack years smoked (mean (SD)) 6.3 (9.4) 6.7 (9.5) 0.94
 N (%) smoked >10 pack years† 38 (23.8%) 47 (27.5%) 0.45
BASDAI (mean (SD)) 5.1 (2.5) 5.2 (2.4) 0.89
ASDAS (mean (SD)) 3.7 (1.5) 3.9 (1.4) 0.12
CRP (mean (SD) mg/L) 13.2 (19.7) 15.6 (20.4) 0.08
N (%) HLA-B27 positive‡ 151 (84.8%) 174 (83.3%) 0.78
N (%) on NSAIDs 162 (79.4%) 185 (81.5%) 0.63
N (%) on TNF-α inhibitor 127 (62.3%) 139 (61.2%) 0.84
mSASSS (mean (SD)) 14.5 (22.7) 19.5 (18.3) <0.0001
SPARCC SIJ inflammation (mean (SD))§ 8.1 (9.8) 6.9 (10.0) 0.28
N (%) with SPARCC SIJ≥2§ 48 (45.7%) 55 (44.4%) 0.79
SSS fat metaplasia (mean (SD))¶ 2.5 (4.2) 5.2 (7.0) 0.003
N (%) with SSS fat metaplasia ≥2¶ 29 (27.6%) 49(38.6%) 0.09
SSS erosion (mean (SD))¶ 3.8 (4.2) 2.4 (3.7) 0.007
N (%) with SSS erosion ≥2¶ 40 (38.1%) 33 (26.6%) 0.06
SSS backfill (mean (SD))¶ 2.2 (3.3) 3.5 (4.3) 0.02
N (%) with SSS backfill ≥2¶ 22 (21%) 36 (28.3%) 0.22
SSS ankylosis (mean (SD))¶ 4.1 (7.2) 6.3 (7.9) 0.003
N (%) with SSS ankylosis ≥2¶ 27 (25.7%) 55 (43.3%) 0.006

*Data from 350 patients.

†Data from 331 patients.

‡Data from 387 patients.

§Data from 229 patients.

¶Data on 232 patients.

ASDAS, Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score; BASDAI, Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index; CRP, C-reactive protein; FORCAST, Follow Up Research Cohort in Ankylosing Spondylitis; HLA, human-leucocyte-antigen; mSASSS, modified Stoke Ankylosing Spondylitis Spine Score; NSAID, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug; SIJ, sacroiliac joints; SPARCC, Spondyloarthritis Research Consortium of Canada; SSS, SPARCC MRI SIJ Structural Scoring; TNF, tumour necrosis factor.