Table 3. Coefficient estimates, logistic regression models predicting inter-province migration, climate measures for years 1-5 prior to census.
Spec. A | Spec. B | Spec. C | Spec. D | Spec. E | Spec. F | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Climate variables, years 1-5 prior to census | ||||||||||||
Temperature, standardized | 0.003 | 0.049 | 0.099 | * | ||||||||
Rainfall, standardized | -0.136 | ** | -0.037 | -0.035 | ||||||||
Count, monthly temperature > 2 SD | 0.053 | * | 0.033 | ** | 0.036 | * | ||||||
Count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD | 0.158 | ** | 0.091 | ** | 0.075 | * | ||||||
Count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD | -0.014 | -0.003 | -0.011 | |||||||||
Count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm | 0.041 | 0.048 | 0.041 | |||||||||
Climate *control interactions | ||||||||||||
Age * temperature, standardized | 0.002 | |||||||||||
Age * rainfall, standardized | 0.003 | ** | ||||||||||
Age * count, monthly temperature > 2 SD | -0.001 | |||||||||||
Age * count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD | -0.003 | + | ||||||||||
Age * count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD | 0.000 | |||||||||||
Age * count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm | 0.000 | |||||||||||
Female * temperature, standardized | 0.026 | ** | ||||||||||
Female * rainfall, standardized | -0.004 | |||||||||||
Female * count, monthly temperature > 2 SD | 0.002 | |||||||||||
Female * count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD | -0.026 | ** | ||||||||||
Female * count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD | -0.009 | + | ||||||||||
Female * count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm | -0.006 | * | ||||||||||
Primary ed(=1) * temperature, standardized | -0.054 | |||||||||||
Primary ed(=1) * rainfall, standardized | -0.003 | |||||||||||
Primary ed(=1) * count, monthly temperature > 2 SD | -0.004 | |||||||||||
Primary ed(=1) * count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD | 0.005 | |||||||||||
Primary ed(=1) * count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD | 0.006 | |||||||||||
Primary ed(=1) * count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm | 0.005 | |||||||||||
Controls | ||||||||||||
Age | -0.032 | ** | -0.029 | ** | -0.031 | ** | -0.031 | ** | -0.031 | ** | -0.031 | ** |
Sex | ||||||||||||
Male | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | ||||||
Female | -0.119 | ** | -0.119 | ** | -0.132 | ** | -0.083 | ** | -0.118 | ** | -0.118 | ** |
Educational attainment | ||||||||||||
Did not complete primary school | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | ||||||
Completed primary school | 0.204 | ** | 0.205 | ** | 0.204 | ** | 0.203 | ** | 0.232 | ** | 0.193 | * |
Unknown | -0.162 | ** | -0.145 | ** | -0.157 | ** | -0.145 | ** | -0.242 | * | -0.241 | + |
Pseduo R2 | 0.0469 | 0.0473 | 0.0468 | 0.0473 | 0.0469 | 0.0473 | ||||||
Joint test, interaction effects | ** | * | ** | + | * | |||||||
N | 2,13,44,711 |
p<0.10,
p<0.05,
p<0.01
Models include constant and province and decade fixed effects