Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Glob Environ Change. 2016 Nov 16;41:228–240. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.005

Table 5. Net coefficient estimates, derived from logistic regression models predicting inter-province migration with country-climate interaction terms, climate measures for years 1-5 prior to census.

Country Temperature, standardized Rainfall, standardized Count, monthly temperature > 2 SD Count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD Count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD Count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm
Argentina 0.108 -0.131 0.303 ** 0.057 0.004 0.060
Bolivia -0.166 ** 0.049 0.117 0.061 + -0.004 -0.141 +
Brazil 0.115 * 0.016 0.009 0.052 0.015 0.018
Chile 0.311 + -0.017 0.032 0.136 + 0.038 + 0.068 **
Colombia 0.005 -0.269 ** 0.081 0.146 * -0.056 0.521 **
Ecuador -0.098 0.058 0.022 0.050 + -0.017 -0.138
Paraguay 0.044 0.086 -0.032 -0.050 0.004 -0.138
Uruguay 0.894 ** 0.220 0.646 ** 0.144 -0.184 -0.138
+

p<0.10,

*

p<0.05,

**

p<0.01

N=21,344,711; joint test of climate * country interactions X2=287.50**

Models include control variables and province and decade fixed effects

Joint tests of interaction terms are statistically significant at p<0.01 for both models