Table 6. Coefficient estimates, logistic regression models predicting inter-province migration, climate measures for years 1-5 prior to census.
| Spec. A | Spec. B | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temperature, standardized | 0.270 | * | ||
| Rainfall, standardized | -0.062 | |||
| Count, monthly temperature > 2 SD | 0.080 | |||
| Count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD | -0.051 | |||
| Count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD | -0.042 | |||
| Count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm | 0.082 | + | ||
| Historical temperature * temperature, standardized | -0.013 | * | ||
| Historical rainfall * temperature, standardized | 0.000 | |||
| Historical temperature * rainfall, standardized | 0.000 | |||
| Historical rainfall * rainfall, standardized | 0.000 | |||
| Historical temperature * count, monthly temperature > 2 SD | -0.001 | |||
| Historical rainfall * count, monthly temperature > 2 SD | 0.000 | |||
| Historical temperature * count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD | 0.008 | |||
| Historical rainfall * count, monthly temperature < (-)2SD | 0.000 | |||
| Historical temperature * count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD | 0.000 | |||
| Historical rainfall * count, monthly rainfall > 2 SD | 0.000 | |||
| Historical temperature * count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm | -0.010 | * | ||
| Historical rainfall * count, monthly rainfall < 1 mm | 0.000 | + | ||
| 0.046 | 0.047 | |||
| Pseduo R2 | 9 | 5 | ||
| Joint test, climate variables | ** | |||
| Joint test, interaction efects | ||||
| N | 2,13,44,711 | |||
+
p<0.10,
*
p<0.05,
**
p<0.01
Models include control variables and province and decade fixed effects