Table 2. Estimated mean and dispersion parameters (mean and 95% credible interval) for the number of secondary infections per infected farm for different routes of transmission of bluetongue virus and Schmallenberg virus between farms.

model	bluetongue virus		Schmallenberg virus
	mean	dispersion parameter	mean	dispersion parameter
diffusion model
vector dispersal	1.27 (0.28, 2.13)	0.03 (0.01, 0.09)	1.98 (1.47, 2.93)	0.07 (0.04, 0.13)
cattle movement	0.04 (0.01, 0.12)	0.25 (0.01, 0.78)	0.01 (0.002, 0.01)	0.08 (0.04, 0.21)
sheep movement	0.04 (0.01, 0.13)	0.34 (0.02, 0.88)	0.01 (0.006, 0.02)	0.30 (0.10, 0.79)
exponential kernel
vector dispersal	0.89 (0.13, 1.35)	0.06 (0.13, 1.35)	1.43 (1.26, 1.75)	0.07 (0.05, 0.10)
cattle movement	0.06 (0.02, 0.15)	0.26 (0.02, 1.20)	0.01 (0.002, 0.01)	0.10 (0.04, 0.45)
sheep movement	0.05 (0.02, 0.13)	0.46 (0.02, 2.69)	0.01 (0.003, 0.02)	0.28 (0.11, 0.63)
Gaussian kernel
vector dispersal	0.89 (0.14, 1.31)	0.04 (0.01, 0.16)	1.46 (1.29, 1.78)	0.07 (0.05, 0.10)
cattle movement	0.06 (0.02, 0.16)	0.60 (0.02, 1.13)	0.006 (0.002, 0.01)	0.10 (0.04, 0.22)
sheep movement	0.05 (0.02, 0.13)	0.48 (0.02, 3.30)	0.01 (0.004, 0.02)	0.31 (0.07, 1.06)
fat-tailed kernel
vector dispersal	0.89 (0.14, 1.23)	0.05 (0.01, 0.21)	1.41 (1.24, 1.67)	0.08 (0.06, 0.12)
cattle movement	0.07 (0.02, 0.17)	0.24 (0.02, 1.08)	0.01 (0.005, 0.02)	0.11 (0.04, 0.39)
sheep movement	0.05 (0.02, 0.14)	0.37 (0.03, 1.89)	0.01 (0.006, 0.03)	0.30 (0.11, 1.53)
stepped kernel
vector dispersal	0.90 (0.14, 1.28)	0.05 (0.01, 0.17)	1.40 (1.18, 1.77)	0.08 (0.05, 0.13)
cattle movement	0.07 (0.02, 0.16)	0.21 (0.02, 0.90)	0.01 (0.004, 0.02)	0.10 (0.04, 0.25)
sheep movement	0.06 (0.02, 0.14)	0.33 (0.02, 1.14)	0.02 (0.006, 0.03)	0.29 (0.11, 0.72)