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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Apr 24.
Published in final edited form as: Stat Anal Data Min. 2016 Feb 23;9(6):397–410. doi: 10.1002/sam.11302

Figure 5.

Figure 5

Uncertainty Statements in Estimates and Projections of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic. Left: Estimates of global number of new HIV infections, 2001–2012, with uncertainty bounds, from UNAIDS’ main annual public statement. Source: [40]. Right: Estimates and projections of HIV prevalence in Gabon, 1970–2015, based on antenatal clinic data up to 2009; the bands for 2010–2015 summarize probabilistic projections. The results are shown for two different models, EPP and R-ex, and the observed prevalence at individual clinics is shown by unfilled circles. Source: [41].