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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Apr 28.
Published in final edited form as: Circulation. 2012 Dec 12;127(1):e6–e245. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0b013e31828124ad

Table 13-4.

Remaining Lifetime Risks for CVD and Other Diseases Among Men and Women Free of Disease at 40 and 70 Years of Age

Diseases Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 40 y
Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 70 y
Men Women Men Women
Any CVD5a 2 in 3* 1 in 2* 2 in 3 1 in 2
CHD6 1 in 2 1 in 3 1 in 3 1 in 4
AF17 1 in 4 1 in 4 1 in 4 1 in 4
CHF18 1 in 5 1 in 5 1 in 5 1 in 5
Stroke34 1 in 6 1 in 5 1 in 6 1 in 5
Dementia34 1 in 7 1 in 5
Hip fracture32 1 in 20 1 in 6
Breast cancer38,40 1 in 1000 1 in 8 1 in 14
Prostate cancer38 1 in 6
Lung cancer38 1 in 12 1 in 17
Colon cancer38 1 in 16 1 in 17
DM41 1 in 3 1 in 3 1 in 9 1 in 7
Hypertension36 9 in 10 9 in 10 9 in 10 9 in 10
Obesity37 1 in 3 1 in 3

CVD indicates cardiovascular disease; ellipses (…), not estimated; CHD, coronary heart disease; AF, atrial fibrillation; CHF, congestive heart failure; DM, diabetes mellitus.

*

Age 45.

Age 65 y.

Age 55 y.