Table 1.
Variable | Hazard ratio | 95% Confidence interval | Wald test P value |
---|---|---|---|
Individual risk | |||
Year | |||
2002–2005 baseline | 0·09 | ||
2006–2010 | 3·30 | 0·52–20·82 | |
2011–2015 | 0·55 | 0·04–8·14 | |
Sex | |||
Female | 0·35 | ||
Male | 1·18 | 0·84–1·66 | |
Previous group TB | |||
No | <0·0001 | ||
Yes | 3·98 | 2·60–6·10 | |
Dominant status | |||
Never | 0·42 | ||
Ever | 0·86 | 0·59–1·25 | |
Age (years) | |||
<1 | <0·0001 | ||
1 | 3·30 | 1·92–5·68 | |
2 | 3·73 | 2·09–6·66 | |
3 | 4·75 | 2·50–9·04 | |
4 | 5·66 | 2·61–12·27 | |
5 | 3·72 | 1·09–12·62 | |
6+ | 2·66 | 0·91–7·84 | |
Group risk | |||
Dominance change | |||
No | 0·86 | ||
Yes | 1·09 | 0·40–2·98 | |
6‐month dominance change | |||
No | 0·42 | ||
Yes | 0·68 | 0·26–1·74 | |
12‐month dominance change | |||
No | 0·27 | ||
Yes | 0·62 | 0·27–1·45 | |
Group size | |||
<10 | 0·66 | ||
11–20 | 1·25 | 0·45–3·46 | |
21–30 | 0·91 | 0·24–3·49 | |
>31 | 0·45 | 0·05–3·60 | |
Rainfall | |||
<200 mm | 0·05 | ||
>200 mm | 0·39 | 0·15–1·00 | |
Immigration | |||
No | 0·19 | ||
Yes | 2·09 | 0·70–6·26 | |
6‐month immigration | |||
No | 0·11 | ||
Yes | 2·23 | 0·84–5·96 | |
12‐month immigration | |||
No | 0·01 | ||
Yes | 3·13 | 1·29–7·58 | |
Number of eligible rovers | |||
0–4 | 0·83 | ||
5–9 | 1·03 | 0·41–2·59 | |
10+ | 0·58 | 0·15–2·18 | |
Number of eligible rovers in the preceding 12 months | |||
0–4 | 0·79 | ||
5–9 | 1·42 | 0·52–3·88 | |
10+ | 1·15 | 0·39–3·41 | |
Year | |||
2002–2005 | 0·13 | ||
2006–2010 | 1·32 | 0·35–4·93 | |
2011–2015 | 2·69 | 0·82–8·82 |