Table 3.
Parameter | Unadjusted estimates: effect of factor on cTnT as a percentage per unit cTnT, except sepsis* (95% CI) | Adjusted estimates: effect of factor on cTnT as a percentage per unit cTnT, except sepsis* (95% CI) | Standardized effect sizes for adjusted analysis equivalent to a SD change in the relevant marker | ||||||||
Effect size (%) | LCI | UCI | P value | Effect size (%) | LCI | UCI | P value | Effect size (%) | LCI | UCI | |
Patients with definite MI (n = 21) | |||||||||||
Sepsis | 33 | 6.0 | 68 | 0.01 | 28.85 | 1.99 | 62.79 | 0.03 | |||
CRP | 0.13 | −0.07 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.12 | −0.08 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 9.70 | −6.16 | 28.23 |
IL-6 (log)† | N/A | 0.006 | N/A | 0.02 | 23.37 | 3.68 | 46.80 | ||||
PCT | 1.62 | −0.06 | 3.33 | 0.06 | 1.30 | −0.42 | 3.04 | 0.14 | 14.20 | −4.21 | 36.15 |
NT-proBNP | 0.00 | −0.0003 | 0.0012 | 0.23 | 0.0004 | −0.0004 | 0.0012 | 0.31 | 0.01 | −0.01 | 0.02 |
Patients with a possible MI (n = 51) | |||||||||||
Sepsis | 10.01 | −5.48 | 28.03 | 0.22 | 5.98 | −8.81 | 23.18 | 0.45 | |||
CRP | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.03 | 10.08 | 0.85 | 20.16 |
IL-6 (log)† | N/A | <0.001 | N/A | <0.001 | 17.45 | 8.14 | 27.56 | ||||
PCT | 1.32 | 0.36 | 2.29 | 0.007 | 1.20 | 0.25 | 2.15 | 0.01 | 16.86 | 3.31 | 32.17 |
NT-proBNP | 0.00 | 0.0006 | 0.0016 | <0.001 | 0.0010 | 0.0005 | 0.0015 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
Patients with raised cTnT only (n = 73) | |||||||||||
Sepsis | 22.12 | 6.56 | 39.95 | 0.004 | 23.17 | 4.99 | 37.80 | 0.01 | |||
CRP | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.045 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 7.87 | −0.47 | 16.92 |
IL-6 (log)† | N/A | 0.001 | N/A | <0.001 | 15.68 | 6.58 | 25.56 | ||||
PCT | 0.68 | 0.30 | 1.07 | <0.001 | 0.70 | 0.28 | 1.03 | 0.001 | 12.58 | 5.23 | 20.45 |
NT-proBNP | 0.00 | 0.0010 | 0.0028 | <0.001 | 0.0018 | 0.0006 | 0.0024 | 0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
Patients without raised cTnT (n = 27) | |||||||||||
Sepsis | −1.58 | −15.80 | 15.03 | 0.84 | −8.72 | −21.03 | 5.51 | 0.22 | |||
CRP | 0.06 | −0.03 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 0.36 | −6.35 | 7.55 |
IL-6 (log)† | N/A | 0.31 | N/A | 0.31 | −3.32 | −9.45 | 3.24 | ||||
PCT | 2.86 | 1.35 | 4.38 | <0.001 | 2.21 | 0.89 | 3.54 | 0.001 | 13.74 | 5.35 | 22.79 |
NT-proBNP | 0.01 | 0.0036 | 0.0089 | <0.001 | 0.0049 | 0.0025 | 0.0073 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
Adjusted mixed model gives average cTnT (outcome) after allowing for gender, age, ischemic heart disease, hypertension, RRT use, or creatinine ≥140 μmol/L, diabetes, and any form of vascular disease.
Use of standard effect sizes to estimate equivalent changes in cTnT:
Examples:
Relationship between cTnT and NT-proBNP: the standardised effect size for NT-proBNP in patients with a definite MI is 0.01. To obtain the equivalent change in cTnT for a change in NT-proBNP, calculate the following:
(value + 1)a where value is the estimate as a proportion, and a is the change in NT-proBNP.
For instance, the value of NT-proBNP is 0.01% (= 0.0001); to compute a 10-unit change, the formula translates into: (0.0001 + 1)10 = 1.001. This means, for a 10-unit change in NT-proBNP, the associated change of cTnT is 0.001 (i.e., 0.1%).
Impact of sepsis: the adjusted effect size describes the difference in cTnT between those with and without sepsis, e.g., if the value is 28.85%, the mean cTnT is raised by 28.85% in patients with sepsis compared with those without sepsis.
*Results are presented as the percentage change in cTnT as the inflammatory marker increases by one unit.
†Since Il-6 was log transformed as well as cTnT, the “one-unit change” estimates are not very meaningful and have been omitted.
CI indicates confidence interval; CRP, C-reactive protein; cTnT, cardiac troponin T; IL-6, interleukin 6; LCI, lower confidence interval; MI, myocardial infarction; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide; PCT, procalcitonin; RRT, renal replacement therapy; UCI, upper confidence interval.