Table 2.
Trends in selected mortality indicators, Agincourt, South Africa, 1993–2013
| Sex | Year | Annual probability of dying (95% CI) | Adult mortality rate (95% CI) | Life Expectancy at birth (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female | 1993 | 4.5 (3.8,5.2) | 200.3 (159.7249.6) | 73.7 (70.7,76.7) |
| 1994 | 4.5 (3.8,5.2) | 171.8 (134.2218.6) | 73.2 (70.7,75.6) | |
| 1995 | 3.8 (3.2,4.5) | 127.6 (93.6172.8) | 74.8 (72.3,77.2) | |
| 1996 | 4.3 (3.6,5.0) | 166.7 (127.6216.4) | 74 (71.5,76.5) | |
| 1997 | 4.5 (3.9,5.2) | 222.7 (180.1273.6) | 74.6 (71.7,77.4) | |
| 1998 | 5.5 (4.8,6.3) | 242 (202.2288.2) | 70.6 (67.9,73.3) | |
| 1999 | 6.1 (5.3,6.9) | 296.5 (254.2344.1) | 69.3 (66.6,71.9) | |
| 2000 | 6.4 (5.6,7.2) | 322.5 (275.3375.4) | 67.7 (65.1,70.2) | |
| 2001 | 8.1 (7.3,9.1) | 392 (347,440.6) | 62.2 (59.8,64.5) | |
| 2002 | 8.7 (7.9,9.7) | 469.2 (421.8519.3) | 60.8 (58.3,63.2) | |
| 2003 | 9.6 (8.6,10.6) | 463.5 (420.2509) | 59.6 (57.2,62.1) | |
| 2004 | 9.4 (8.5,10.4) | 503.3 (457.8550.8) | 59.6 (57.2,62) | |
| 2005 | 11.3 (10.3,12.4) | 536.4 (493.6580.5) | 56.5 (54.3,58.7) | |
| 2006 | 9.9 (9.0,11.0) | 476.2 (432,522.5) | 59.7 (57.3,62) | |
| 2007 | 10.2 (9.3,11.2) | 517.9 (474.6562.7) | 58.6 (56.3,60.8) | |
| 2008 | 9.7 (8.8,10.6) | 464.3 (422.8507.9) | 60.4 (58.3,62.4) | |
| 2009 | 8.0 (7.3,8.9) | 378.6 (338.3421.9) | 65.3 (63.2,67.4) | |
| 2010 | 8.0 (7.2,8.8) | 377.1 (337,420.3) | 65.4 (63.3,67.5) | |
| 2011 | 7.9 (7.2,8.8) | 359 (321.8399.2) | 65.2 (63.1,67.3) | |
| 2012 | 7.2 (6.5,8) | 317.2 (280.9357) | 68.5 (66.4,70.5) | |
| 2013 | 6.7 (6,7.4) | 294.9 (258.2335.5) | 70.2 (68.2,72.3) | |
| Male | 1993 | 5.4 (4.7,6.3) | 281.8 (229.5343.3) | 67.8 (64.7,70.9) |
| 1994 | 6 (5.2,6.9) | 324.4 (267.8389.4) | 63.6 (61.3,65.8) | |
| 1995 | 5 (4.3,5.8) | 343.5 (284.6410.6) | 67.2 (64.7,69.8) | |
| 1996 | 5.3 (4.6,6.2) | 337.8 (282.7400.3) | 66.9 (64,69.7) | |
| 1997 | 5.4 (4.7,6.3) | 331 (277.1392.2) | 65.7 (63.1,68.4) | |
| 1998 | 6.2 (5.4,7.1) | 373 (317.6434.7) | 64.4 (61.7,67) | |
| 1999 | 7.1 (6.3,8.1) | 358.5 (306.6416.1) | 62.3 (59.8,64.8) | |
| 2000 | 7 (6.2,8) | 382 (328.9440.4) | 62.3 (59.8,64.7) | |
| 2001 | 9.1 (8.1,10.1) | 499.3 (446.5554.7) | 57.2 (55,59.4) | |
| 2002 | 10.5 (9.5,11.7) | 550.4 (499.3603) | 53.6 (51.5,55.7) | |
| 2003 | 11.8 (10.7,12.9) | 601.3 (552.8650.3) | 51.7 (49.6,53.8) | |
| 2004 | 12 (10.9,13.2) | 662.6 (615.9708.8) | 51.3 (49.3,53.3) | |
| 2005 | 12.1 (11,13.3) | 588.5 (541.2636.4) | 52.3 (50.4,54.1) | |
| 2006 | 11.9 (10.9,13.1) | 637.1 (591.5682.6) | 52.1 (50.1,54) | |
| 2007 | 13.2 (12.1,14.4) | 650 (607.3692.4) | 49.9 (48.1,51.7) | |
| 2008 | 12.1 (11.1,13.2) | 581.7 (539.4624.6) | 52.1 (50.3,53.8) | |
| 2009 | 9.8 (9,10.8) | 517.4 (473.2563.2) | 56.6 (54.7,58.5) | |
| 2010 | 9.3 (8.5,10.3) | 511.9 (466.4559.1) | 57.6 (55.7,59.5) | |
| 2011 | 8.6 (7.8,9.5) | 445.4 (398.7495.1) | 59.8 (58,61.6) | |
| 2012 | 7.7 (6.9,8.5) | 426.1 (380.2475) | 61.5 (59.6,63.5) | |
| 2013 | 7.9 (7.2,8.8) | 399.7 (355.4447.3) | 61.3 (59.4,63.2) |
Adult mortality rate is the probability of dying between ages 15 and 59