Table 3.

Age-specific changes in incidence of selected chronic conditions, 1995 to 2014

Condition	Age group (years)	Hazard ratioa (95% CI)
		1995-1999	2000-2004	2005-2009	2010-2014
CHD	80-84	Ref.	0.93 (0.88 to 0.98)	0.63 (0.59 to 0.67)	0.54 (0.50 to 0.58)
	85-89	Ref.	0.88 (0.82 to 0.94)	0.62 (0.58 to 0.66)	0.55 (0.51 to 0.60)
	90-94	Ref.	0.90 (0.82 to 0.99)	0.67 (0.61 to 0.74)	0.59 (0.67 to 0.76)
	95-99	Ref.	0.92 (0.78 to 1.10)	0.67 (0.56 to 0.79)	0.70 (0.59 to 0.84)
	100+	Ref.	0.78 (0.46 to 1.33)	0.56 (0.32 to 0.96)	1.96 (1.17 to 3.30)
Stroke	80-84	Ref.	0.95 (0.88 to 1.02)	0.80 (0.74 to 0.87)	0.83 (0.76 to 0.90)
	85-89	Ref.	0.83 (0.77 to 0.89)	0.68 (0.63 to 0.73)	0.71 (0.66 to 0.77)
	90-94	Ref.	0.78 (0.71 to 0.84)	0.63 (0.58 to 0.69)	0.59 (0.54 to 0.65)
	95-99	Ref.	0.79 (0.69 to 0.91)	0.56 (0.48 to 0.64)	0.53 (0.46 to 0.62)
	100+	Ref.	0.58 (0.40 to 0.85)	0.51 (0.35 to 0.74)	0.44 (0.30 to 0.65)
COPD	80-84	Ref.	0.66 (0.62 to 0.71)	0.63 (0.59 to 0.68)	0.59 (0.54 to 0.64)
	85-89	Ref.	0.57 (0.52 to 0.62)	0.52 (0.48 to 0.56)	0.47 (0.43 to 0.52)
	90-94	Ref.	0.47 (0.42 to 0.53)	0.35 (0.31 to 0.40)	0.36 (0.32 to 0.41)
	95-99	Ref.	0.40 (0.32 to 0.51)	0.28 (0.22 to 0.35)	0.24 (0.18 to 0.30)
	100+	Ref.	0.44 (0.23 to 0.86)	0.31 (0.16 to 0.62)	0.15 (0.07 to 0.35)
Cancer	80-84	Ref.	1.08 (1.02 to 1.15)	1.31 (1.24 to 1.39)	1.52 (1.43 to 1.61)
	85-89	Ref.	1.07 (1.00 to 1.14)	1.36 (1.28 to 1.45)	1.45 (1.36 to 1.54)
	90-94	Ref.	1.15 (1.05 to 1.26)	1.33 (1.22 to 1.45)	1.38 (1.26 to 1.50)
	95-99	Ref.	1.08 (0.91 to 1.28)	1.20 (1.02 to 1.42)	1.44 (1.22 to 1.70)
	100+	Ref.	0.87 (0.46 to 1.63)	1.17 (0.65 to 2.12)	1.69 (0.95 to 3.00)
Diabetes mellitusb	80-84	Ref.	1.62 (1.46 to 1.78)	2.02 (1.83 to 2.23)	2.18 (1.96 to 2.42)
	85-89	Ref.	2.45 (2.01 to 2.99)	3.65 (3.02 to 4.41)	5.41 (4.47 to 6.53)

CI confidence interval

^aAdjusted for time and sex

^bNo incident diabetes events over 90 years of age