Table 5.
C-indices and 95% confidence intervals estimated at 1, 3, and 5 years after transplantation under a competing-risk model, treating death with allograft function as a competing outcome
Measure | One year after transplantation | Three years after transplantation | Five years after transplantation | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current KDRI | Revised KDRI | Current KDRI | Revised KDRI | Current KDRI | Revised KDRI | |
AUC 1 for allograft failure | 0.674(0.591,0.757) | 0.674(0.593,0.755) | 0.629(0.567,0.692) | 0.639(0.578,0.700) | 0.646(0.583,0.710) | 0.657(0.593,0.721) |
AUC 2 for allograft failure | 0.671(0.588,0.755) | 0.672(0.591,0.753) | 0.618(0.556,0.68) | 0.629(0.568,0.69) | 0.626(0.564,0.688) | 0.633(0.57,0.696) |
AUC 1 for death with a functioning graft | 0.579(0.47,0.688) | 0.567(0.462,0.673) | 0.627(0.546,0.708) | 0.62(0.541,0.699) | 0.642(0.566,0.719) | 0.670(0.591,0.749) |
AUC 2 for death with a functioning allograft | 0.568(0.464,0.672) | 0.556(0.447,0.664) | 0.608(0.53,0.685) | 0.598(0.518,0.678) | 0.611(0.534,0.687) | 0.636(0.562,0.710) |
AUC 1 and AUC 2 are defined following Blanche and colleagues (17). AUC 1 refers to the estimated c-index, assuming controls are free of either event (subjects who are alive with a functioning allograft) before the time point of interest. AUC 2 focuses on each specific type of failure; therefore, an AUC 2 estimate for allograft failure (e.g., at 3 years) assumes that controls are alive at 3 years after transplantation.
AUC, area under the curve