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. 2017 Apr 19;7:1111. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-00806-4

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© The Author(s) 2017

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Distribution of the probability of being infected in the Woodchester Park badger population at the time of last capture of each individual, given its capture and testing history. Approximately 70% of subjects in the study population had probabilities of being infected at their last capture that were higher than 0.95 (black bar) or lower than 0.05 (white bar), meaning that the infection status of the remaining 30% of badgers was less certain. Note that the 5% and 95% thresholds are used here arbitrarily: any cut-off could be selected depending on the degree of certainty required.