Table 11.

Different error measures calculated for one-step-ahead epidemic curve over whole season (2013-2014), averaged across all HHS regions: Comparing Methods M1 to M6 and ARIMA approach

	MAE	RMSE	MAPE	sMAPE	MdAPE	MdsAPE
Method 1	316.18	378.63	0.39	0.33	0.34	0.29
Method 2	293.76	357.34	0.35	0.31	0.30	0.26
Method 3	224.53	293.52	0.25	0.22	0.22	0.20
Method 4	204.5	274.41	0.21	0.21	0.18	0.18
Method 5	224.57	293.90	0.25	0.22	0.22	0.20
Method 6	204.25	274.97	0.21	0.20	0.18	0.18
ARIMA	1015.60	1187.62	0.77	0.74	0.78	0.75