Table 3.
Measure name | Formula | Description | Scaled | Outlier Protection | Other forms | Penalize extreme deviation | Other Specification |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) | Demonstrates the magnitude of overall error | No | Not Good | GMAE | No | - | |
Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) | Root square of average squared error | No | Not Good | MSE | Yes | - | |
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) | Measures the average of absolute percentage error | Yes | Not Good | MdAPE a, RMSPE b | No | - | |
symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (sMAPE) | Scale the error by dividing it by the average of y t and x t | Yes | Good | MdsAPE | No | Less possibility of division by zero rather than MAPE. | |
Mean Absolute Relative Error (MARE) | Measures the average ratio of absolute error to Random walk error | Yes | Fair | MdRAE, GMRAE | No | - | |
Relative Measures: e.g. RelMAE (RMAE) | Ratio of accumulation of errors to cumulative error of Random Walk method | Yes | Not Good | RelRMSE, LMR [43], RGRMSE [44] | No | - | |
Mean Absolute Scaled Error (MASE) | Measures the average ratio of error to average error of one-step Random Walk method | Yes | Fair | RMSSE | No | - | |
Percent Better (PB) | Demonstrates average number of times that method overcomes the Random Walk method | Yes | Good | - | No | Not good for calibration and close competitive methods. | |
Mean Arctangent Absolute Percentage Error (MAAPE) | Calculates the average arctangent of absolute percentage error | Yes | Good | MdAAPE | No | Smooths large errors. Solve division by zero problem. | |
Normalized Mean Squared Error (NMSE) | Normalized version of MSE: value of error is balanced | No | Not Good | NA | No | Balanced error by dividing by variance of real data. |
aMd represent Median bRMS represent Root Mean Square