Figure 1.

Tile‐plots of the average estimated Earth Mover Distance (across 500 simulated datasets) between the observed and predicted distribution of LRS for each simulation scenario. True values of state dependence (e ^γ on the Odds‐Ratio scale) and HPDH (σ _repro) are on the x− and y− axes, respectively. Each panel corresponds to one of the four models used to analyze data. Vertical black lines bracket scenarios in which heterogeneity (${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{HPDH}}$) is the true data‐generating mechanism. Horizontal black lines bracket scenarios in which state dependence (${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{NTLH}}$) is the true data‐generating mechanism. At the intersection, ${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{nil}}$ is the true data‐generating mechanism. Everywhere else, ${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{full}}$ is the true data‐generating mechanism. The true data‐generating model should have the smallest Earth Mover Distance. Actual values (rounded to the nearest integer) are displayed on each tile