Table 2.

MC order test using cumulative logit model of becoming low risk at T3

Selected Predictors (Significant, P < 0.01)	MC order = 1	MC order = 2
Male	-0.563	-0.345
Age	-0.023	-0.019
Baseline risk (t1) Low	2.73	1.545
Baseline cost (t1)	-0.01	-0.011
Risk at t2 Low	-	1.938
Model fit
log L	-283085	-139246*

* Log likelihood ratio test of order 2 model, compared to order 1 model (287,678 >> χ²(2), pr<0.001) was significantly preferred.