Table 3.
Scores performances comparison
| Mortality | Discrimination | Calibration* | Precision | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predicted mortality (±SD) | SMR (95% CI) | AUROC | 95% CI | Over the bisector 95% CI | Under the bisector 95% CI | Brier score | |
| SAPS 3-SE | 16.4 ± 19.3% | 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | 0.850 | 0.84–0.85 | 0.00–0.01 | 0.08–0.12 | 0.098 |
| SAPS 3-CSA | 21.7 ± 23.2% | 0.75 (0.74–0.77) | 0.850 | 0.84–0.85 | Never | Always | 0.103 |
| MPM0-III | 14.3 ± 14.0% | 1.15 (1.13–1.18) | 0.800 | 0.79–0.80 | 0.07–0.97 | 0.01–0.03 | 0.111 |
SAPS 3-SE Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3-Standard Equation, SAPS 3-CSA Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3-Customized equation for Central and South American Countries, MPM0-III Mortality Probability Models III, SMR Standardized mortality rates, AUROC area under the curve
* Calibration described as bisector deviation intervals, as proposed by GiViTI, (Italian Group for the Evaluation of Intervention in Intensive Care Medicine)