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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Alcohol Clin Exp Res. 2017 Mar 24;41(5):976–986. doi: 10.1111/acer.13365

Table 1.

Trends in Lifetime Abstentiona Among Men and Women Ages 60 Years and Older Based on Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) and Annual Percent Change (APC): National Health Interview Survey, United States, 1997–2014

Men
Women
Lifetime Abstentiona Years
{%}b
AAPC/APCc 95% CI p Years
{%}b
AAPC/APCc 95% CI p
Age 60+ 1997–2014
{15.1–14.5}
−0.9 (−2.9, 1.2) 0.41 1997–2014
{38.2–29.7}
−1.3 (−2.2, −0.4) 0.006
 Trend 1 1997–2000
{15.1–18.7}
5.7 (−6.0, 18.9) 0.33 1997–1999
{38.2–41.9}
4.7 (−3.6, 13.8) 0.25
 Trend 2 2000–2014
{18.7–14.5}
−2.2 (−3.3, −1.1) 0.0008 1999–2014
{41.9–29.7}
−2.1 (−2.5, −1.7) <0.0001
By Age Group
60–64 1997–2014
{13.5–13.4}
0.3 (−2.8, 3.4) 0.87 1997–2014
{33.4–22.7}
−2.3 (−2.8, −1.9) <0.0001
 Trend 1 1997–2003
{13.5–14.5}
2.3 (−2.7, 7.6) 0.34
 Trend 2 2003–2011
{14.5–8.2}
−6.5 (−10.1, −2.9) 0.003
 Trend 3 2011–2014
{8.2–13.4}
16.2 (1.0, 33.5) 0.04
65–69 1997–2014
{13.6–12.5}
−0.8 (−4.7, 3.2) 0.69 1997–2014
{35.7–27.0}
−2.0 (−2.8, −1.2) <0.0001
 Trend 1 1997–2006
{13.6–17.3}
1.5 (−0.3, 3.3) 0.10
 Trend 2 2006–2009
{17.3–10.9}
−11.1 (−29.9, 12.7) 0.29
 Trend 3 2009–2014
{10.9–12.5}
1.7 (−3.1, 6.8) 0.45
70–74 1997–2014
{13.2–13.3}
−1.4 (−2.9, 0.1) 0.07 1997–2014
{37.5–29.9}
−1.3 (−2.0, −0.7) 0.0007
75–79 1997–2014
{17.6–16.7}
−0.6 (−1.3, 0.2) 0.13 1997–2014
{38.3–33.4}
−1.0 (−1.6, −0.3) 0.006
80+ 1997–2014
{20.6–19.8}
−1.3 (−2.3, −0.2) 0.02 1997–2014
{47.3–41.5}
−1.1 (−1.5, −0.8) <0.0001
By Birth Cohort
<1925 1997–2008
{17.5–19.4}
2.5 (0.8, 4.2) 0.0008 1997–2008
{42.1–42.1}
0.3 (−1.1, 1.9) 0.65
 Trend 1 1997–1999
{42.1–48.3}
5.9 (−2.6, 15.2) 0.15
 Trend 2 1999–2008
{48.3–42.1}
−0.9 (−2.0, 0.3) 0.13
1925–1935 1997–2014
{13.6–19.7}
1.2 (0.3, 2.2) 0.02 1997–2014
{35.6–40.0}
0.7 (0.3, 1.1) 0.001
1936–1945 1997–2014
{13.0–14.0}
−0.8 (−1.7, 0.2) 0.11 1997–2014
{30.9–30.9}
−0.2 (−0.7, 0.2) 0.27
1946–1954 2006–2014
{10.7–13.0}
4.4 (−0.7, 9.8) 0.08 2006–2014
{27.9–24.0}
−1.4 (−3.2, 0.3) 0.09

Note. CI = confidence interval; p = p-value for trend

a

Lifetime abstention: <12 drinks in lifetime.

b

Years = range of years covered by trend and {%} = prevalence (or percentage) corresponding to the initial and last years covered by the trend.

c

AAPC is presented for overall trends that include all joinpoint segments. APC is presented for single segments calculated by joinpoint. When there are no joinpoints, AAPC=APC.