Table 3.

Bivariate logistic regression results at baseline

	Very likely or almost certain to survive to
	50 years OR [95% CI]	60 years OR [95% CI]	70 years OR [95% CI]	80years OR [95% CI]
HIV status and viral load
Ref: HIV+, detectable viral load	Ref.	Ref.	Ref.	Ref.
HIV+, undetectable viral load	1.64*** [1.26–2.14]	1.59*** [1.22–2.06]	1.48* [1.10–2.00]	1.28 [0.91–1.79]
HIV-status	1.56*** [1.25–1.94]	1.89*** [1.52–2.35]	1.92*** [1.49–2.47]	1.66*** [1.26–2.19]
Observations	2000	2352	2415	2477
Expected future health
Better or much better health in 1 year	1.90*** [1.58–2.29]	1.80*** [1.51–2.13]	1.63*** [1.35–1.96]	1.63*** [1.32–2.00]
Observations	1931	2270	2339	2403
Much better health in 1 year	2.92*** [2.19–3.88]	2.34*** [1.84–2.98]	1.84*** [1.44–2.35]	1.79*** [1.38–2.33]
Observations	1931	2270	2339	2403
Better or much better health in 3 years	1.91*** [1.58–2.29]	1.81*** [1.52–2.15]	1.50*** [1.24–1.82]	1.54*** [1.25–1.89]
Observations	2000	2352	2415	2477
Much better health in 3 years	2.77*** [2.20–3.48]	2.06*** [1.69–2.51]	1.56*** [1.27–1.92]	1.50*** [1.20–1.88]
Observations	2000	2352	2415	2477

Notes: OR, odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval. Logistic regression model was used to separately examine the association between the binary dependent variables and each of the five independent variables: (1) HIV status and HIV-1 viral load; (2) better or much better health in 1 year; (3) much better health in 1 year; (4) better or much better health in 3 years; (5) much better health in 3 years in separate logistic regression models. For each of the target ages of 50, 60, 70, and 80 years, the sample was limited to participants who were younger than the target age. 95% confidence intervals calculated using robust standard errors clustered at the individual level are reported in brackets.

^*p < .05.

^***p < .001.