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. 2017 Jun;23(6):914–921. doi: 10.3201/eid2306.161417

Table 1. Parameters for estimating peak-week ventilator demand in mild, moderate, and severe influenza pandemics, Texas, USA*.

Parameter Mild (2009-like) Moderate (1957- and 1968-like) Severe (1918-like) Source
Hospitalization scaling over mild 1 3.14 36 (2,21)
Proportion of hospitalized ILI patients requiring ICU care 0.2 0.25 0.25 (2,19,21,22,23)
Proportion of ICU patients requiring ventilation 0.5 0.5 0.5 (2,21,22)
Proportion of ventilated patients requiring 2 weeks of ventilation 0.4 0.4 0.4 (22)
Region-to-region correlation for peak-week demand 0.7 0.7 0.7 Estimated

*ICU, intensive care unit; ILI, influenza-like illness.