Fig. 9. : number of DG2 cases as a function of time. Circles indicate the observed number of cases, whereas the solid line is the median calculated trend [using the selected AR(1) plus linear trend model, and delayed function to the number of multibacillary cases] and the dashed lines are the 95% credible intervals. Values to the right of the solid vertical line in 2015 are the forecasted values.
