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. 2017 May 30;12(5):e0177323. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177323

Table 1. Model inputs with years of publication for references.

Variable Non-incarcerated heroin users Incarcerated heroin users
Model Input [ref] Year of citation publication Model input [ref] Year of citation publication
Number of heroin users 808,000[18] 2015 200,000[9] 2007
Probability of use treatment 0.110[19] 2015 0.141[20] 2007
Cost of heroin use disorder treatment $9,187.08[21] 2011 $9,187.08[21] 2011
Probability of HIV infection 0.070[22] 2015 0.310[23] 2015
Probability of HIV treatment 0.305[24] 2013 0.333[25] 2010
Cost of HIV treatment $23,681.71[26] 2010 $23,681.71[26] 2010
Probability of having HCV given HIV+ 0.800[27] 2014 0.700[28] 2005
Probability of having HCV given HIV- 0.769[29] 1996 0.657[30] 2005
Probability of HCV treatment 0.160[31] 2008 0.160[31] 2008
Cost of HCV treatment $81,633.51[32] 2016 $81,633.51[32] 2016
Probability of HBV given only HIV+ 0.071[33] 2003 0.082[34] 2009
Probability of HBV given only HCV+ 0.081[35] 2010 0.013[34] 2009
Probability of HBV given HIV+ and HCV+ 0.081[35] 2010 0.082[34] 2009
Probability of HBV given HIV- and HCV- 0.035[36] 2011 0.082[34] 2009
Probability of HBV treatment 0.140[37] 2014 0.140[37] 2014
Cost of HBV treatment $28,817.62[38] 2004 $28,817.62[38] 2004
Probability of TB given HIV+ 0.160[39] 2008 0.160[39] 2008
Probability of TB given no chronic infectious diseases 0.390[39] 2008 0.390[39] 2008
Probability of TB treatment 0.050[40, 41] 2009,2009 0.050[40, 41] 2009,2009
Cost of TB treatment $545.15[42] 2009 $545.15[42] 2009
Probability of overdose death while on use treatment 0.0023[43] 2015 0.0023[43] 2015
Probability of overdose death while not on use treatment 0.0080[43] 2015 0.0080[43] 2015
Probability of experiencing overdose and living 0.339[44, 45] 2013,2009 0.339[44, 45] 2013, 2009
Cost to treat each overdose $3369.71[44] 2013 $3369.71[44] 2013
Cost of crime committed by each user $6795.77[21] 2011 N/A N/A
Cost of incarceration N/A N/A $30,656.20[46] 2015
Lost productivity by non-incarcerated users who live1 $4,910.53[21, 47] 2011, 2014 N/A 2011, 2014
Lost productivity by non-incarcerated users who die 1 $28,885.46[21, 47] 2011, 2014 N/A N/A
Lost productivity by incarcerated users1 N/A N/A $28,885.46[21, 47] 2011, 2014
Probability of Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome treatment 0.0148[48] 2015 0.0148[48] 2015
Cost of Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome treatment $68,856.48[49] 2015 $68,856.48[49] 2015
Cost of Heroin to User2 $19,004.32[50] 2014 N/A N/A

1The median salary was included in the model because an individual would be capable of such earnings if he/she did not have heroin use disorder; in effect, society loses these earnings as the individual is unable to work at the same capacity as a normal member of society

2The cost of heroin to the user is N/A for incarcerated users to reflect that although users may have access to heroin while incarcerated, they are unlikely to be using currency to obtain the heroin; thus, the cost of heroin to user is assumed as $0