Table 6. Results (Coefficients) Estimating the Effect of Gentrification (Binary) on Residential Mobility by Economic Cycle.
Move (Any Move) | Move Downward | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||
2003–2007 | 2008–2010 | 2011–2014 | 2003–2007 | 2008–2010 | 2011–2014 | |
Gentrification (binary) | -0.006** | 0.012*** | 0.010*** | 200.00074 | 2- 00.10026 * | 200.01140 |
Gentrification & risk score (Ref: Nongentrify &Score 750+) | ||||||
Gentrify | -0.023*** | 0.004 | 0.010 | -0.025 | -0.077*** | -0.044 |
Score 650–749 | 0.014*** | 0.012** | 0.008* | 0.029 | 0.038* | 0.065*** |
Score 580–649 | -0.002 | 0.008 | 0.006 | 0.078*** | 0.071*** | 0.086*** |
Score <580 | -0.040*** | -0.029*** | -0.013*** | 0.114*** | 0.114*** | 0.136*** |
Gentrify & Score 650–749 | 0.038*** | 0.036*** | 0.031*** | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.018 |
Gentrify & Score 580–649 | 0.026*** | 0.011 | 0.002 | 0.03 | 0.048 | 0.066** |
Gentrify & Score <580 | 0.009 | -0.004 | -0.015** | 0.046* | 0.084*** | 0.082*** |
Gentrify + Gentrify & Score <580 | -0.014*** | 0.001 | -0.005 | 0.021 | 0.007 | 0.038** |
Gentrification & mortgage status (Ref: Nongentrify & Mortgage) | ||||||
Gentrify | -0.017*** | -0.004 | -0.002 | -0.007 | -0.062*** | -0.033 |
No mortgage | -0.018*** | 0.007** | 0.014*** | 0.030*** | 0.025* | 0.027** |
Gentrify & no mortgage | 0.013** | 0.020*** | 0.015*** | 0.014 | 0.044** | 0.051** |
Gentrify + Gentrify & No mortgage | -0.004 | 0.016*** | 0.013*** | 0.007 | -0.018 | 0.018 |
Gentrification & risk score (residents without mortgages) (Ref: Nongentrify & Score 750+) | ||||||
Gentrify | -0.017*** | 0.014* | 0.017** | -0.029 | -0.075** | -0.064* |
Score 650–749 | 0.019*** | 0.022*** | 0.011** | 0.029 | 0.038 | 0.067** |
Score 580–649 | 0.004 | 0.015*** | 0.009* | 0.077*** | 0.066** | 0.083*** |
Score <580 | -0.035*** | -0.026*** | -0.013*** | 0.116*** | 0.120*** | 0.139*** |
Gentrify & Score 650–749 | 0.036*** | 0.035*** | 0.037*** | 0.009 | 0.015 | 0.037 |
Gentrify & Score 580–649 | 0.016** | 0.005*** | -0.004 | 0.023 | 0.059 | 0.083** |
Gentrify & Score <580 | 0.000 | -0.014*** | -0.023*** | 0.053* | 0.079** | 0.098*** |
Gentrify + Gentrify & Score<580 | -0.016*** | 0.000 | -0.006 | 0.024 | 0.003 | 0.034* |
Note: From different linear probability regressions; the 2003–2007 cohort does not include 2005 observations;
represent significant at 0.01, 0.05, or 0.1 level, respectively; control variables include risk score, household size, age, mortgage status, serious delinquency, distance to City Hall and universities, year dummies, and neighborhood indicators; estimation is based on data from the FRBNY Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.