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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Reg Sci Urban Econ. 2016 Sep 22;61:38–51. doi: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2016.09.004

Table 6. Results (Coefficients) Estimating the Effect of Gentrification (Binary) on Residential Mobility by Economic Cycle.

Move (Any Move) Move Downward

2003–2007 2008–2010 2011–2014 2003–2007 2008–2010 2011–2014
Gentrification (binary) -0.006** 0.012*** 0.010*** 200.00074 2- 00.10026 * 200.01140
Gentrification & risk score (Ref: Nongentrify &Score 750+)
Gentrify -0.023*** 0.004 0.010 -0.025 -0.077*** -0.044
Score 650–749 0.014*** 0.012** 0.008* 0.029 0.038* 0.065***
Score 580–649 -0.002 0.008 0.006 0.078*** 0.071*** 0.086***
Score <580 -0.040*** -0.029*** -0.013*** 0.114*** 0.114*** 0.136***
Gentrify & Score 650–749 0.038*** 0.036*** 0.031*** 0.016 0.016 0.018
Gentrify & Score 580–649 0.026*** 0.011 0.002 0.03 0.048 0.066**
Gentrify & Score <580 0.009 -0.004 -0.015** 0.046* 0.084*** 0.082***
Gentrify + Gentrify & Score <580 -0.014*** 0.001 -0.005 0.021 0.007 0.038**
Gentrification & mortgage status (Ref: Nongentrify & Mortgage)
Gentrify -0.017*** -0.004 -0.002 -0.007 -0.062*** -0.033
No mortgage -0.018*** 0.007** 0.014*** 0.030*** 0.025* 0.027**
Gentrify & no mortgage 0.013** 0.020*** 0.015*** 0.014 0.044** 0.051**
Gentrify + Gentrify & No mortgage -0.004 0.016*** 0.013*** 0.007 -0.018 0.018
Gentrification & risk score (residents without mortgages) (Ref: Nongentrify & Score 750+)
Gentrify -0.017*** 0.014* 0.017** -0.029 -0.075** -0.064*
Score 650–749 0.019*** 0.022*** 0.011** 0.029 0.038 0.067**
Score 580–649 0.004 0.015*** 0.009* 0.077*** 0.066** 0.083***
Score <580 -0.035*** -0.026*** -0.013*** 0.116*** 0.120*** 0.139***
Gentrify & Score 650–749 0.036*** 0.035*** 0.037*** 0.009 0.015 0.037
Gentrify & Score 580–649 0.016** 0.005*** -0.004 0.023 0.059 0.083**
Gentrify & Score <580 0.000 -0.014*** -0.023*** 0.053* 0.079** 0.098***
Gentrify + Gentrify & Score<580 -0.016*** 0.000 -0.006 0.024 0.003 0.034*

Note: From different linear probability regressions; the 2003–2007 cohort does not include 2005 observations;

***, **, *

represent significant at 0.01, 0.05, or 0.1 level, respectively; control variables include risk score, household size, age, mortgage status, serious delinquency, distance to City Hall and universities, year dummies, and neighborhood indicators; estimation is based on data from the FRBNY Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.