Table 2.

Projected Impact of HIVDR on AIDS Deaths, New Infections, and ART Costs in Sub–Saharan Africa 2016–2030.^a

	AIDS Deaths	New Infections	ART Costs
With HIVDR (Fast-track projections)	5.6 million	5.1 million	$ 83 billion
Current level of PDR <10%
Percentage attributable to HIVDR	13%	7%	6%
Amount attributable to HIVDR	710,000	380 000	$5.0 billion
Current level of PDR ≥10%
Percentage attributable to HIVDR	16%	9%	8%
Amount attributable to HIVDR	890 000	450 000	$6.5 billion

Abbreviations: HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; HIVDR, HIV drug resistance; PDR, pretreatment HIV drug resistance.

^aUsing the Spectrum Goals Model estimates [6] by applying the impact of drug resistance as estimated using the HIV Synthesis Model.