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. 2017 Jun 2;7:2732. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-03006-2

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© The Author(s) 2017

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Distribution of Posidonia oceanica predicted by ensembles under current (a) and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) conditions (b). A major probability of occurrence is predicted in the Western and Northern Mediterranean Sea for the present. Three putative glacial refugia, located in the Southern Mediterranean, were found by hindcasting to the LGM. Divisions correspond to genetic regions identified in the Mediterranean Sea by ref. 15 and ref. 17. Maps were generated using R⁴³.