Summary of findings for the main comparison. Multiple micronutrients compared to placebo for adults with HIV infection.
Multiple micronutrients compared to placebo for adults with HIV infection | ||||||
Participant or population: adults with HIV infection (with and without concurrent tuberculosis, with and without ART) Settings: all settings Intervention: multiple micronutrient supplementation (standard or high dose daily) Comparison: placebo | ||||||
Outcomes | Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI) | Relative effect (95% CI) | Number of participants (trials) | Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) | Comments | |
Assumed risk | Corresponding risk | |||||
Placebo | Micronutrients | |||||
Mortality Follow‐up: 8 to 24 months |
100 per 1000 | 91 per 1000 (72 to 115) |
RR 0.91 (0.72 to 1.15) |
2897 (7 trials) | ⊕⊕⊝⊝
low1,2,3,4 due to indirectness and imprecision |
Multiple micronutrients may have little or no effect on mortality |
Hospital admissions Follow‐up: 11 to 18 months |
139 per 1000 |
120 per 1000 (85 to 170) |
RR 0.86 (0.61 to 1.22) |
881 (2 trials) |
⊕⊝⊝⊝
very low1,4,5 due to indirectness and imprecision |
We don't know if multiple micronutrients have any effect on hospital admissions |
CD4 cell count Follow‐up: 6 weeks to 2 years |
The mean in the placebo groups ranged from 147 to 483 cells/mm³ |
The mean in the multiple micronutrient group was 26.40 cells/mm³ higher (22.91 lower to 75.70 higher) |
— | 1581 (6 trials) | ⊕⊕⊝⊝ low1,3,6 due to indirectness and inconsistency |
Multiple micronutrients may have little or no effect on CD4 cell count |
Viral load Follow‐up: 6 weeks to 2 years |
The mean in the placebo groups ranged from 4.1 to 5.4 log10copies/mL |
The mean in the multiple micronutrient groups was 0.10 log10copies/mL lower (0.26 lower to 0.06 higher) |
— | 840 (4 trials) |
⊕⊕⊕⊝
moderate1,7 due to indirectness |
Multiple micronutrients probably have little or no effect on viral load |
Nutritional status Follow‐up: 4 weeks to 1.9 years |
— | — | Not pooled | 1007 (3 trials) | ⊕⊝⊝⊝
very low1,8,9 due to indirectness and imprecision |
We don't know if multiple micronutrients have any effect on nutritional status parameters |
The basis for the assumed risk is the median control group risk across studies. The corresponding risk (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). Abbreviations: ART: antiretroviral therapy; BMI: body mass index; CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio. | ||||||
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence High certainty: further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect. Moderate certainty: further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate. Low certainty: further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate. Very low certainty: we are very uncertain about the estimate. |
1No serious risk of bias: most trials were at low risk of selection bias and used placebos to prevent performance or detection bias. 2No serious heterogeneity: none of the trials found statistically significant effects overall (although one small subgroup from one trial in Tanzania did find a statistically significant difference this is probably a chance finding). 3Downgraded by 1 for serious indirectness: although most trials reported this outcome, only one of these (from Uganda using standard dose micronutrients) included a substantial number of adults on ART in line with current recommendations. The other trials used standard or high dose micronutrients and were conducted in ART‐naive adults (in Botswana, Zambia, and Thailand), and adults with concurrent tuberculosis (in Tanzania and Malawi). 4Downgraded by 1 for serious imprecision: the 95% CI is wide and includes both clinically important effects and no effect. The overall meta‐analysis remains underpowered to confidently exclude effects. 5Downgraded by 2 for very serious indirectness: these two trials were conducted in Thailand (high dose micronutrients in ART‐naive adults) and Uganda (standard dose micronutrients in adults on ART). The finding of no effect may not apply to all populations and settings. 6Downgraded by 1 for serious inconsistency: in total eight trials reported a measure of CD4+ cell count although we could only include six trials in this meta‐analysis. Of note, one recent trial in Botswana among ART‐naive adults (not included in the meta‐analysis) reported a reduced risk of reaching a CD4+ cell count of less than 250 cells/mm³ after two years of high dose supplementation. This finding is inconsistent with other trials that used similar combinations of micronutrients and selenium. 7Downgraded by 1 for serious indirectness: in total four trials in ART‐naive adults, with concurrent TB (in Tanzania and Malawi) or without TB (in Kenia and Thailand), reported viral load. The finding of no effect may not apply to people on ART or other populations and settings. 8Downgraded by 2 for serious indirectness: only three trials (from Uganda, Zambia, and Tanzania) reported measures of nutritional status (BMI, weight, mid‐upper arm circumference (MUAC), lean body mass). The finding of no effect may not apply to all populations and settings. 9Downgraded by 1 for serious imprecision: we were unable to pool data but the 95% CIs of the individual trials were wide and included clinically important effects and no effect.