Table 4.
Two-sex multigenerational marriage and fertility models for men and women
| Variable | Marriage
|
Marriage
|
Marital Fertility
|
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men Ever Married (logit)
|
Women Ever Married (logit)
|
Couples (negative binomial)
|
||||
| 2-Generation | 3-Generation | 2-Generation | 3-Generation | 2-Generation | 3-Generation | |
| Men’s Education (ref. = 0–11) | ||||||
| 12 | 0.397*** (0.071) | 0.383*** (0.073) | -- | -- | −0.106*** (0.017) | −0.102*** (0.018) |
| 13–15 | 0.579*** (0.080) | 0.565*** (0.082) | -- | -- | −0.154*** (0.020) | −0.150*** (0.021) |
| 16+ | 0.789*** (0.085) | 0.770*** (0.091) | -- | -- | −0.176*** (0.023) | −0.171*** (0.024) |
| Women’s Education (ref. = 0–11) | ||||||
| 12 | -- | -- | 0.477*** (0.079) | 0.403*** (0.081) | −0.177*** (0.018) | −0.175*** (0.018) |
| 13–15 | -- | -- | 0.691*** (0.087) | 0.600*** (0.090) | −0.219*** (0.021) | −0.220*** (0.021) |
| 16+ | -- | -- | 0.844*** (0.092) | 0.760*** (0.100) | −0.338*** (0.024) | −0.339*** (0.025) |
| Men’s Father (ref. = 0–11) | ||||||
| 12 | -- | 0.059 (0.068) | -- | -- | -- | 0.013 (0.016) |
| 13–15 | -- | 0.047 (0.088) | -- | -- | -- | 0.022 (0.022) |
| 16+ | -- | 0.069 (0.090) | -- | -- | -- | 0.022 (0.022) |
| Men’s Mother (ref = 0–11) | ||||||
| 12 | -- | 0.044 (0.070) | -- | -- | -- | −0.026 (0.016) |
| 13–15 | -- | −0.106 (0.084) | -- | -- | -- | −0.046* (0.021) |
| 16+ | -- | 0.008 (0.097) | -- | -- | -- | −0.024 (0.024) |
| Women’s Father (ref. = 0–11) | ||||||
| 12 | -- | -- | -- | 0.105 (0.074) | -- | −0.027 (0.016) |
| 13–15 | -- | -- | -- | 0.147 (0.093) | -- | −0.035 (0.021) |
| 16+ | -- | -- | -- | 0.121 (0.098) | -- | −0.049* (0.022) |
| Women’s Mother (ref. = 0–11) | ||||||
| 12 | -- | -- | -- | 0.239** (0.076) | -- | 0.014 (0.016) |
| 13–15 | -- | -- | -- | 0.228* (0.092) | -- | 0.065** (0.021) |
| 16+ | -- | -- | -- | 0.023 (0.106) | -- | 0.036 (0.024) |
| Age Group (ref. = 25–35) | ||||||
| 36–45 | 1.297*** (0.071) | 1.296*** (0.071) | 1.207*** (0.075) | 1.209*** (0.075) | 0.149*** (0.022) | 0.149*** (0.022) |
| 46–55 | 1.470*** (0.064) | 1.473*** (0.065) | 1.596*** (0.069) | 1.648*** (0.071) | 0.123*** (0.021) | 0.122*** (0.021) |
| 56–65 | 2.277*** (0.077) | 2.285*** (0.079) | 2.178*** (0.083) | 2.260*** (0.085) | 0.210*** (0.020) | 0.209*** (0.021) |
| Intercept | −0.457*** (0.075) | −0.487*** (0.085) | −0.296*** (0.083) | −0.470*** (0.091) | 0.881*** (0.025) | 0.888*** (0.026) |
| N | 10,419 | 10,419 | 10,281 | 10,281 | 14,171 | 14,171 |
| Log-Likelihood | −5,025.9 | −5,023.2 | −4,529.7 | −4,517.0 | −23,479.7 | −23,470.3 |
Notes: A significant result from the Brant test indicates that the proportional odds assumption in the ordered logistic model is violated. Numbers in parentheses are robust standard errors.
Source: Panel Study of Income Dynamics, 1968–2013.
*
p < .05;
**
p < .01;
***
p < .001 (two-tailed tests)