Figure 5. Model results with the effects of different terms compared with data via maps of tree cover classes and scatterplots of tree cover versus climatic–edaphic forest suitability.

(a–d) Observed tree cover in 2010. (e–p) Modelled tree cover: (e–h) fire and logging, (i–l) no fire and (m–p) no logging. Respective κ-agreement indices of the modelled forest state with the data are 0.73, 0.42 and 0.69. See Supplementary Fig. 5 for differentiation of these results with respect to cover type. Forest (40–100%): dark green; savanna (5–40%): light green; treeless (<5%): grey; agricultural/urban areas: beige.