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. 2017 May 15;114(22):5659–5664. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1617482114

Fig. S1.

Fig. S1.

The management effect required for each of five management actions to become the optimal action under 37 published compartmental Ebola models. All 37 models are presented within the row for each action reordered by rank for that action. Evaluation was based on comparisons of caseload projections under each specific management action over a gradient of changes ranging from 10 to 100% against all of the other management actions with a baseline intensity of 30% change. The number of models for which a particular intervention is recommended as optimal generally increased with the intervention efficacy. Considering the intervention of reducing funeral transmission as an example, if the efficacy of an intervention to reduce funeral transmission is below 10%, no models recommend that intervention as optimal. When the efficacy increases to 20%, 4/37 models recommend it as optima; when the efficacy increases to 30%, 22/37 models recommend it as optimal. The number of models recommending an intervention to reduce funeral transmission as optimal is positively correlated with the efficacy of the intervention.