Skip to main content
. 2017 Jun 15;81(12):1014–1022. doi: 10.1016/j.biopsych.2016.12.010

Table 4.

BIC Scores and R2 Values Associated With the Different Prospect Theory Models and Comparison Models

Model Description Number of Parameters BIC R2 Model Accuracy
Model 1: λ, ρ, and µ Estimated Across All Trialsa 3 10,287b .508 78.9%
Model 2: λ, ρ, and µ Estimated Separately for Each Emotion Condition 12 12,215 .543 79.9%
Model 3: λ and ρ Estimated Separately for Each Emotion Condition; µ Estimated Across All Trials 9 11,580 .534 79.5%
Model 4: Null Modelc 0 19,583 0 50.0%
Model 5: Null Modeld 1 16,869 .152 59.6%
Model 6: λ and µ (no ρ) Estimated Across All Trials 2 12,933 .367 70.8%
Model 7: ρ and µ (no λ) Estimated Across All Trials 2 16,839 .168 60.2%
Model 8: µ Only, Estimated Across All Trials 1 18,206 .084 55.1%

Model accuracy represents the percentage of choices correctly explained by the model, computed for each participant using their parameter estimates and averaged across participants. R2 and model accuracy values cannot be directly compared across models with different numbers of parameters.

a

Main text model.

b

Winning model (lowest Bayesian information criterion [BIC]).

c

pgamble = .5 on every trial.

d

pgamble = average propensity to gamble for that subject on every trial.