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. 2017 Apr 19;18(4):690–697. doi: 10.5811/westjem.2017.2.33325

Table 3.

In-hospital mortality in the development and validation cohorts.

Development Validation Death



Quintile of risk n Mortality (range) N Mortality (range) Observed Expected
 1 3175 30% (28 – 33%) 3484 30% (28 – 33%) 1014 1056
 2 619 35% (34 – 35%) 626 35% (34 – 35%) 236 217
 3 1919 38% (37 – 41%) 2096 38% (37 – 41%) 785 793
 4 1619 43% (42 – 47%) 1729 43% (41 – 47%) 771 749
 5 1833 57% (48 – 81%) 1958 57% (48 – 84%) 1096 1106
Point score
 Low (<6) 3175 31% (23 – 33%) 3484 31% (28 – 33%) 1014 1055
 Medium (6–10) 4489 40% (38 – 55%) 4817 40% (40 – 55%) 2492 2456
 High (>10) 1501 59% (51 – 81%) 1592 58% (56 – 84%) 910 926