Table 4.
Mean BMD, g/cm2 | Prevalence of Osteoporosis, %† | ICER, by Bone Loss Prevented by Alendronate, $/QALY | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
100%‡ | 75% | 50% | ||||||
Test and Selective Alendronate Therapy | No Test and Universal Alendronate Therapy | Test and Selective Alendronate Therapy | No Test and Universal Alendronate Therapy | Test and Selective Alendronate Therapy | No Test and Universal Alendronate Therapy | |||
0.8069 | 5 | 123 300 | 271 700 | 185 900 | 391 500 | 312 100 | 615 600 | |
0.7540‡ | 11 | 66 800 | 178 700 | 112 700 | 257 400 | 205 400 | 417 200 | |
0.7017 | 20 | 44 000 | 104 800 | 83 200 | 161 500 | 162 200 | 276 400 | |
0.6601 | 30 | 35 200 | 60 500 | 71 700 | 104 200 | 145 600 | 192 600 | |
0.6246 | 40 | Dominated§ | 30 500 | Dominated§ | 65 600 | Dominated§ | 136 400 | |
0.5915 | 50 | Dominated§ | 17 500 | Dominated§ | 48 900 | Dominated§ | 112 300 |
BMD = bone mineral density; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY quality-adjusted life-year.
ICER was measured by cost per QALY gained. The no test–no alendronate strategy was the reference strategy because it was the least costly, viable (nondominated) option. The strategy was considered cost-effective if its ICER was less than $100 000 per QALY gained (32, 63).
Assumed a normal distribution of BMD and 0.5915 g/cm2 as a BMD cut-off value for the diagnosis of osteoporosis.
Base-case assumptions.
Universal alendronate therapy without a BMD test dominated this strategy by simple dominance because it was less effective and more costly.