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. 2017 May 11;10(6):531–550. doi: 10.1111/eva.12484

Table 2.

Summary of Vortex simulations of two management scenarios. In 50‐years‐of‐translocation scenarios, King Parrot and Murrumbidgee populations are supplemented by individuals from Dartmouth and Cataract Dam, respectively

Scenario Do‐nothing 50‐years‐of‐translocation Do‐nothing 50‐years‐of‐translocation
Populations Dartmouth King Parrot Dartmouth King Parrot Cataract Dam Murrumbidgee Cataract Dam Murrumbidgee
Initial population size, N 3,000 500 3,000 500 300 100 300 100
Probability of extinction 0.002 0.21 0.022 0.006 0.36 0.828 0.776 0.032
Time to first extinction, years 85 82 76 92 78 63 42 90
N e at Year 100 340 61 257 −221 44 31 42 −18
N (extant) at Year 100 3,269 337 3,743 680 337 118 478 450
N e/N 0.104 0.181 Not estimated Not estimated 0.131 0.26 Not estimated Not estimated
He at year 0 0.491 0.426 0.491 0.426 0.472 0.19 0.472 0.19
He at year 100 0.481 0.379 0.478 0.442 0.401 0.151 0.398 0.331
Number of alleles at year 0 5.68 3.52 5.68 3.52 3.36 1.8 3.36 1.8
Number of alleles at year 100 5.03 2.92 4.95 4.26 2.6 1.5 2.6 2.86
Number of haplotypes at year 0 6 4 6 4 2 1 2 1
Number of haplotypes at year 100 5.53 2.53 5.36 6.11 1.73 1 1.75 2.51
Number of lethal alleles/individual at year 0 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15
Number of lethal alleles/individual at year 100 3 2.53 2.94 2.8 2.28 1.83 2.44 2.72