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. 2017 Mar 31;8(21):34820–34835. doi: 10.18632/oncotarget.16747

Table 3. Association between molecular and serologic markers of human papillomavirus 16 infections and 5-year local recurrences.

Variablea Number of Local recurrences AUC of time-dependent ROCb Local recurrence (n = 21)
Univariate analysisc P value Multivariate analysisd P value
E6/E7 mRNA 0.500
Negative (75 [88]) 16 Reference Reference
Positive (10 [12]) 5 3.6 (1.3−10.0) 0.014 6.4 (2.0−20.0) 0.001
Anti-L1 antibodies 0.486
≤ 876 (68 [80]) 17 Reference Reference
> 876 (17 [20]) 4 1.3 (0.4−3.8) 0.678 NA
Anti-E6 antibodies 0.369
≤ 678 (50 [59]) 17 Reference Reference
> 678 (35 [41]) 4 0.3 (0.1−0.98) 0.047 0.2 (0.1−0.5) 0.003
Anti-E7 antibodies 0.512
≤ 948 (26 [31]) 5 Reference Reference
> 948 (59 [69]) 16 1.6 (0.6−4.3) 0.389 3.9 (1.3−11.7) 0.014

AUC, area under the curve; NA, not available; NS, not significant; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.

aData are expressed as counts (%).

bData are calculated based on ungrouped baseline data.

cData are expressed as hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) calculated with Cox regression models.

dData are expressed as hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) calculated with Cox regression models with a non-parametric 95% bootstrap confidence interval (200 runs). Significant P values are marked in bold.