Table 3.
Heterogeneity in wage trajectories by age at marriage
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||
Marries at age 22 and under | Marries at ages 23–26 | Marries at age 27+ | H0: (1) = (2) = (3) | |
A. Pre-marriage slope (−3, −1) | 0.044 (0.026) | 0.042** (0.015) | 0.010 (0.009) | ns |
eβ = 1.045 | eβ= 1.043 | eβ= 1.011 | ||
B. During-marriage slope (−1, 1) | 0.059*** (0.017) | 0.025* (0.013) | −0.004 (0.009) | ** |
eβ= 1.061 | eβ= 1.025 | eβ= 0.996 | ||
H0: (A) = (B) | ns | ns | ns | - |
C. Immediate post-marriage slope (1, 5) | 0.018 (0.010) | 0.010 (0.009) | 0.002 (0.006) | ns |
eβ= 1.018 | eβ= 1.010 | eβ= 1.002 | ||
H0: (B) = (C) | ** | ns | ns | - |
D. Long-term post-marriage slope (5, 10+) | 0.010 (0.008) | 0.005 (0.009) | −0.000 (0.006) | ns |
eβ= 1.010 | eβ= 1.005 | eβ= 1.000 | ||
H0: (C) = (D) | ns | ns | ns | - |
Joint test of linearity | ** | * | ns | - |
H0: (A) = (B) = (C) = (D) | ||||
Joint test of 0 growth | ** | * | ns | - |
H0: (A) = (B) = (C) = (D) = 0 | ||||
N | 1,545 | 1,301 | 1,372 |
Note: Models are fixed-effects models analogous to the spline models in Figure 1. Models are estimated separately within subgroups defined by terciles of the age at first marriage distribution. Trajectories begin 3 years before marriage because many men who marry at age 22 or younger do not have valid wage observations more years prior to marriage. We can reject the null hypothesis that trajectories are equal across age at marriage groups. Full results are available in the online supplement, Table A3.