Table 4.
Heterogeneity in wage trajectories by shotgun marriage
(1) | (2) | (3) | |
---|---|---|---|
| |||
Non-shotgun marriage | Shotgun marriage | H0: (1) = (2) | |
A. Pre-marriage slope (−5, −1) | 0.002 (0.005) | 0.023 (0.014) | ns |
eβ= 1.002 | eβ= 1.023 | ||
B. During-marriage slope (−1, 1) | 0.018** (0.007) | −0.009 (0.020) | ns |
eβ= 1.018 | eβ= 0.991 | ||
H0: (A) = (B) | ns | ns | - |
C. Immediate post-marriage slope (1, 5) | 0.002 (0.004) | 0.013 (0.012) | ns |
eβ= 1.002 | eβ= 1.013 | ||
H0: (B) = (C) | ns | ns | - |
D. Long-term post-marriage slope (5, 10+) | 0.001 (0.004) | −0.008 (0.010) | ns |
eβ= 1.001 | eβ= 0.992 | ||
H0: (C) = (D) | ns | ns | - |
Joint test of linearity | ns | ns | - |
(A) = (B) = (C) = (D) | |||
Joint test of 0 growth | ns | ns | - |
(A) = (B) = (C) = (D) = 0 | |||
N | 2,761 | 556 |
Note: Models are fixed-effects models analogous to the spline models in Figure 1. Models are estimated separately by whether the marriage was a shotgun marriage, defined as a marriage followed by a first birth within 7 months. We cannot reject the null hypothesis that the trajectories are equal by shotgun marriage. Full results are available in the online supplement, Table A3.