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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Demography. 2017 Jun;54(3):1007–1028. doi: 10.1007/s13524-017-0566-2

Table 4.

Heterogeneity in wage trajectories by shotgun marriage

(1) (2) (3)

Non-shotgun marriage Shotgun marriage H0: (1) = (2)
A. Pre-marriage slope (−5, −1) 0.002 (0.005) 0.023 (0.014) ns
eβ= 1.002 eβ= 1.023
B. During-marriage slope (−1, 1) 0.018** (0.007) −0.009 (0.020) ns
eβ= 1.018 eβ= 0.991
H0: (A) = (B) ns ns -
C. Immediate post-marriage slope (1, 5) 0.002 (0.004) 0.013 (0.012) ns
eβ= 1.002 eβ= 1.013
H0: (B) = (C) ns ns -
D. Long-term post-marriage slope (5, 10+) 0.001 (0.004) −0.008 (0.010) ns
eβ= 1.001 eβ= 0.992
H0: (C) = (D) ns ns -
Joint test of linearity ns ns -
(A) = (B) = (C) = (D)
Joint test of 0 growth ns ns -
(A) = (B) = (C) = (D) = 0
N 2,761 556

Note: Models are fixed-effects models analogous to the spline models in Figure 1. Models are estimated separately by whether the marriage was a shotgun marriage, defined as a marriage followed by a first birth within 7 months. We cannot reject the null hypothesis that the trajectories are equal by shotgun marriage. Full results are available in the online supplement, Table A3.