Table 1.
Selection among different survival probability models of Myotis myotis and Myotis blythii at the colonies of Naters and Raron. The model for age‐specific first time reproduction (αa3+species) was always the same and therefore not included in the list below. We present the model's deviance, the number of estimated parameters, the difference in the Akaike's information criterion between the actual and the best model (ΔAIC), and the Akaike's weight
| Survival model (ϕ) | Movement model (ψ) | Recapture model (p) | Deviance | Parameters | ΔAIC | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| juv: year; ad: spec | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8749.19 | 51 | 0.00 | 0.212 |
| juv: year; ad: spec | a2*spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8745.79 | 53 | 0.60 | 0.157 |
| juv: year; ad: spec | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year*rep | 8710.05 | 71 | 0.86 | 0.138 |
| juv: year+spec; ad: spec | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8749.12 | 52 | 1.93 | 0.081 |
| juv: year+spec; ad: spec | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year*rep | 8709.25 | 72 | 2.06 | 0.076 |
| juv: year+spec; ad: spec | a2*spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8745.61 | 54 | 2.42 | 0.063 |
| juv: year*spec; ad: spec | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year*rep | 8690.11 | 82 | 2.92 | 0.049 |
| juv: year; ad: . | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8754.83 | 50 | 3.64 | 0.034 |
| juv: year; ad: . | a2*spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8751.29 | 52 | 4.10 | 0.027 |
| a2*spec | a2*spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8767.44 | 44 | 4.25 | 0.025 |
| a2*spec | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8771.52 | 42 | 4.33 | 0.024 |
| juv: year*spec; ad: spec | juv:.; ad: spec | Col*year+rep+spec | 8731.57 | 62 | 4.39 | 0.024 |
Model notation: rep: individuals that have reproduced at least once and those that have not started to reproduce yet differ; a2: 2 age classes (1st year, later); year: different parameter for each year; Col: different parameter for each colony; spec: different parameter for each species; juv: juveniles (1st year); ad: adults (at least 1 year old); * interactive effects; + additive effects; . is for constancy. Shown are the best (weight > 0.02) of 56 fitted models.