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. 2017 Jun 27;13:202. doi: 10.1186/s12917-017-1119-z

Table 2.

The consequence of a multiple purchases of infected animals

Number of animals purchased per year
Simulated years 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 99.6 35.2 2.8 3.2 1.4 0.0
2 15.8 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
3 7.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

The probability of disease fadeout (calculated as percentages from 500 simulations) after 1 to 10 simulated years when buying one to six animals per year. When buying more than six animals per year, the probability of infection fadeout was always zero