Table 2.
Number of animals purchased per year | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Simulated years | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
1 | 99.6 | 35.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
2 | 15.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
3 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
10 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
The probability of disease fadeout (calculated as percentages from 500 simulations) after 1 to 10 simulated years when buying one to six animals per year. When buying more than six animals per year, the probability of infection fadeout was always zero