Table 2. Jaguar survival, detection, immigration and emigration probabilities for the jaguar capture-recapture camera-trap data from CBWS, 2002–2015 (years 2009–2010 missing).

Year	Survival a		Detection probability		Abundance		Temporary Emigration
	Male	Female	Male	Female	Male	Female	Male/Female
2002	0.79 ± 0.05	0.79 ± 0.06	0.36 ± 0.02	0.07 ± 0.02	11.31 ± 0.57	NE	0.21 ± 0.04
2003	0.79 ± 0.05	0.79 ± 0.06	0.36 ± 0.02	0.07 ± 0.02	9.16 ± 0.41	4.34 ± 2.44
2004	0.78 ± 0.05	0.78 ± 0.05	0.36 ± 0.02	0.07 ± 0.02	14.16 ± 0.41	12.09 ± 4.30
2005	0.79 ± 0.04	0.79 ± 0.05	0.36 ± 0.02	0.07 ± 0.02	15.11 ± 0.33	3.77 ± 1.98
2006	0.79 ± 0.04	0.78 ± 0.05	0.36 ± 0.02	0.07 ± 0.02	16.29 ± 0.55	2.17 ± 1.66
2007	0.77 ± 0.06	0.78 ± 0.06	0.36 ± 0.02	0.07 ± 0.02	19.22 ± 0.47	12.09 ± 4.30
2008	0.79 ± 0.04	0.79 ± 0.04	0.36 ± 0.02	0.07 ± 0.02	11.20 ± 0.45	6.51 ± 3.09
2011	0.78 ± 0.05	0.78 ± 0.05	0.47 ± 0.03	0.05 ± 0.03	18.01 ± 0.07	8.65 ± 4.96
2012	0.77 ± 0.06	0.78 ± 0.06	0.27 ± 0.03	0.06 ± 0.03	17.14 ± 0.39	7.91 ± 2.96
2013	0.78 ± 0.05	0.78 ± 0.04	0.40 ± 0.03	0.12 ± 0.04	14.01 ± 0.09	4.70 ± 1.10
2014	0.78 ± 0.05	0.78 ± 0.05	0.33 ± 0.04	0.16 ± 0.04	12.06 ± 0.26	7.81 ± 1.10
2015	NE	NE	0.37 ± 0.04	0.16 ± 0.04	15.15 ± 0.40	9.60 ± 1.72

Estimates presented correspond to the model average ± standard error across the top six models for all parameters obtained, using the robust design models.

NE: not estimable. No data available for 2016 so survival cannot be estimated for 2015–2016.

^a Survival measure is apparent survival from the year of the row to the next. We consider apparent survival rather than true survival due to the absence of dead recoveries