Table 2. Probability of escalation to the next higher dose for each underlying true DLT rate.

True underlying DLT	5%	10%	20%	30%	40%	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%
Probabilty of escalating dose	0.97	0.91	0.71	0.49	0.31	0.17	.08	0.03	0.01	0.001
Probability of Failing to Observe toxicity if sample = 3	0.86	0.73	0.51	0.34	0.22	0.13	0.064	0.027	0.008	0.001
Probability of Failing to Observe toxicity if sample = 6	0.74	0.53 0.26	0.12	0.047	0.016	0.0041	<0.001	<0.001	<0.001	<0.001