Fig. 4.

Map of the Kalkalpen National Park and the simulated cumulative wind and bark beetle disturbance 2007–2014 a under observed climatic conditions, and b assuming an increase in temperature of +4 °C. Disturbance probability was calculated as the number of times a 10 m pixel was disturbed over all simulated replicates divided by the number of replicates simulated (n = 10). Please note that the analyses on bark beetle disturbances presented in this contribution disregard the management zone along the park boundaries